the dysphoria of scientific methods...

... is mainly due to their post-factum character:

Climate scientists have begun to debate whether global warming is producing more powerful storms, after Nargis smashed into Myanmar -- brutally changing gear from a Category One to a Category Four cyclone just before it made landfall.

Nagris wasn't an isolated incident: Hurricane Katrina laid waste to parts of the U.S. Gulf Coast in 2005. And in 2007, the Arabian peninsula was hit by a super-cyclone, Gonu. Are these events -- massively costly in lives and treasure -- all linked? [...]

That's a question that causes fierce jousting among climate scientists. Experts agree that a single weather event cannot be pinned to climate change, which is part of a long-term pattern spanning decades or centuries. [...]

taken from the Discovery News.